Hong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
28°C or higher <1%
19°C <1%
$28,202 Vol.
$28,202 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
28°C or higher <1%
19°C <1%
$28,202 Vol.
$28,202 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,249 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,800 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,393 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,733 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$28,202Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,202Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETHong Kong Observatory numerical weather prediction models currently converge on a 23°C overnight minimum for May 17 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that favors clear skies and moderate radiative cooling. This forecast aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on the 23°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of short-range model consensus rather than climatological averages. Typical May lows in the region range from 23–26°C, but the current weak monsoon trough and limited cloud cover support the lower end of that spectrum. Resolution hinges on the official Hong Kong Observatory reading; any late-model shift toward increased moisture or stronger onshore flow could push the minimum to 24°C or higher before final observations are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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