Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul under stable summer conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Typical August climatology features average minima of 18–20°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated readings due to persistent warm advection from the Mediterranean without significant frontal passages or radiative cooling enhancements. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and any late-day humidity shifts, with new observational data expected by early morning local time to refine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
23°C 35%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
35%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
17°C or below 35%
23°C 35%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$109 Vol.
35%
18°C
$173 Vol.
59%
19°C
$123 Vol.
59%
20°C
$177 Vol.
31%
21°C
$6 Vol.
34%
22°C
$16 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$227 Vol.
1%
25°C
$435 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$937 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$357 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul under stable summer conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Typical August climatology features average minima of 18–20°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated readings due to persistent warm advection from the Mediterranean without significant frontal passages or radiative cooling enhancements. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and any late-day humidity shifts, with new observational data expected by early morning local time to refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,561Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul under stable summer conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Typical August climatology features average minima of 18–20°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated readings due to persistent warm advection from the Mediterranean without significant frontal passages or radiative cooling enhancements. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and any late-day humidity shifts, with new observational data expected by early morning local time to refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,561Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather point to an overnight low near 21°C in Istanbul under stable summer conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Typical August climatology features average minima of 18–20°C, but recent model runs show slightly elevated readings due to persistent warm advection from the Mediterranean without significant frontal passages or radiative cooling enhancements. Key variables differentiating outcomes include precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and any late-day humidity shifts, with new observational data expected by early morning local time to refine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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