Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level produces mild August nighttime temperatures, with historical averages near 13°C and typical ranges of 12–14°C during the rainy season. On August 21, 2026, scattered showers, variable cloud cover, and moderate humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the minimum in a narrow band around 12–15°C according to current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather. These conditions create tight clustering in market probabilities because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or timing of precipitation can swing the low by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment thus reflects model consensus on typical seasonal patterns rather than any anomalous event, with resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum reported by local meteorological stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 21?
15°C 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 31%
16°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
27%
13°C
31%
14°C
31%
15°C
32%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 31%
16°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
9°C or below
$155 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$50 Vol.
1%
11°C
$108 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$1 Vol.
31%
14°C
$1 Vol.
31%
15°C
$1 Vol.
32%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$10 Vol.
27%
18°C
$117 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level produces mild August nighttime temperatures, with historical averages near 13°C and typical ranges of 12–14°C during the rainy season. On August 21, 2026, scattered showers, variable cloud cover, and moderate humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the minimum in a narrow band around 12–15°C according to current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather. These conditions create tight clustering in market probabilities because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or timing of precipitation can swing the low by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment thus reflects model consensus on typical seasonal patterns rather than any anomalous event, with resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum reported by local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$563Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level produces mild August nighttime temperatures, with historical averages near 13°C and typical ranges of 12–14°C during the rainy season. On August 21, 2026, scattered showers, variable cloud cover, and moderate humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the minimum in a narrow band around 12–15°C according to current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather. These conditions create tight clustering in market probabilities because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or timing of precipitation can swing the low by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment thus reflects model consensus on typical seasonal patterns rather than any anomalous event, with resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum reported by local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$563Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level produces mild August nighttime temperatures, with historical averages near 13°C and typical ranges of 12–14°C during the rainy season. On August 21, 2026, scattered showers, variable cloud cover, and moderate humidity are limiting radiative cooling, keeping the minimum in a narrow band around 12–15°C according to current forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather. These conditions create tight clustering in market probabilities because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or timing of precipitation can swing the low by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment thus reflects model consensus on typical seasonal patterns rather than any anomalous event, with resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum reported by local meteorological stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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