Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market's balanced 50% odds on 3°C or below versus 13°C or higher. This reflects typical mid-September variability, where radiative cooling overnight competes against residual warmth from daytime highs near 20°C and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical climatology shows average lows near 8°C, but current conditions favor milder outcomes unless a sharper high-pressure ridge develops. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any late cooling shifts the distribution toward the lower bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 17?
3°C or below 100%
13°C or higher 100%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
3°C or below
100%
4°C
40%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C or higher
100%
3°C or below 100%
13°C or higher 100%
4°C 40%
5°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
4°C
$0 Vol.
40%
5°C
$0 Vol.
40%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C or higher
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market's balanced 50% odds on 3°C or below versus 13°C or higher. This reflects typical mid-September variability, where radiative cooling overnight competes against residual warmth from daytime highs near 20°C and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical climatology shows average lows near 8°C, but current conditions favor milder outcomes unless a sharper high-pressure ridge develops. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any late cooling shifts the distribution toward the lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market's balanced 50% odds on 3°C or below versus 13°C or higher. This reflects typical mid-September variability, where radiative cooling overnight competes against residual warmth from daytime highs near 20°C and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical climatology shows average lows near 8°C, but current conditions favor milder outcomes unless a sharper high-pressure ridge develops. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any late cooling shifts the distribution toward the lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on September 17 will likely fall between 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, aligning closely with the market's balanced 50% odds on 3°C or below versus 13°C or higher. This reflects typical mid-September variability, where radiative cooling overnight competes against residual warmth from daytime highs near 20°C and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical climatology shows average lows near 8°C, but current conditions favor milder outcomes unless a sharper high-pressure ridge develops. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any late cooling shifts the distribution toward the lower bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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