Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
15°C or higher 49%
5°C or below 46%
10°C 29%
9°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
46%
6°C
3%
7°C
12%
8°C
25%
9°C
28%
10°C
29%
11°C
13%
12°C
6%
13°C
14%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
49%
15°C or higher 49%
5°C or below 46%
10°C 29%
9°C 28%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
$119 Vol.
46%
6°C
$373 Vol.
3%
7°C
$13 Vol.
12%
8°C
$0 Vol.
25%
9°C
$0 Vol.
28%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
13%
12°C
$571 Vol.
6%
13°C
$0 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,076Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,076Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and European agencies point to overnight lows of 9–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 9°C and 10°C at 27.5% each, reflecting consensus on radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and a lack of strong cold-air advection. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, while the modest probability on 5°C or below underscores the low likelihood of anomalous cooling. Traders appear focused on the final model runs and any late adjustments to cloud thickness or wind patterns that could shift the observed minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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