Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France-aligned models points to a minimum near 20 °C for Paris on August 5 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and residual warmth from preceding hot days have kept nighttime temperatures elevated above the long-term August average low of roughly 15–16 °C. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C while allowing limited probability for a 19 °C reading if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud cover develops. Updated model runs and official minimum observations expected overnight will determine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
20°C 74%
19°C 29%
17°C 6%
18°C 5%
BARU
$12,806 Vol.
BARU
$12,806 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
5%
19°C
21%
20°C
76%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 74%
19°C 29%
17°C 6%
18°C 5%
BARU
$12,806 Vol.
BARU
$12,806 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
$832 Vol.
1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
6%
18°C
$496 Vol.
5%
19°C
$2,851 Vol.
21%
20°C
$1,579 Vol.
76%
21°C
$3,076 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France-aligned models points to a minimum near 20 °C for Paris on August 5 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and residual warmth from preceding hot days have kept nighttime temperatures elevated above the long-term August average low of roughly 15–16 °C. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C while allowing limited probability for a 19 °C reading if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud cover develops. Updated model runs and official minimum observations expected overnight will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,806Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France-aligned models points to a minimum near 20 °C for Paris on August 5 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and residual warmth from preceding hot days have kept nighttime temperatures elevated above the long-term August average low of roughly 15–16 °C. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C while allowing limited probability for a 19 °C reading if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud cover develops. Updated model runs and official minimum observations expected overnight will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,806Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France-aligned models points to a minimum near 20 °C for Paris on August 5 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Urban heat-island effects and residual warmth from preceding hot days have kept nighttime temperatures elevated above the long-term August average low of roughly 15–16 °C. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C while allowing limited probability for a 19 °C reading if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud cover develops. Updated model runs and official minimum observations expected overnight will determine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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