Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 4?
18°C 38%
14°C or below 7%
15°C 7%
16°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
7%
15°C
7%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
38%
19°C
61%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
14°C or below 7%
15°C 7%
16°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$12 Vol.
7%
15°C
$12 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$126 Vol.
3%
18°C
$125 Vol.
38%
19°C
$3,835 Vol.
61%
20°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,037Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,037Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate an overnight minimum in Paris of 18–19°C on September 4, 2026, with clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northwest, and dew points near 15–17°C moderating radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C (62%) and 18°C (37.5%), reflecting trader assessment of a mild air mass persisting from recent westerly flow rather than the seasonal average low of 12.8°C. Limited cloud cover overnight supports some temperature drop after the day's high near 28–30°C, but no incoming cold front or significant advection is expected to push readings lower. Updated model runs and official Météo-France observations through the night will refine final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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