Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to moderating maritime influences and southeasterly flow keeping overnight minima near 23–24 °C for Qingdao on September 16, yet trader positioning centers on 17–18 °C outcomes because historical September climatology (average low 18 °C) and late-summer cooling episodes still anchor expectations. Coastal station data show rapid radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime peaks near 29 °C, with dew points near 14–18 °C supporting potential dips if winds weaken. Uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any unmodeled cold-air advection keeps the 16 °C-or-below and 17 °C bins competitive at 45 % each, while warmer thresholds above 19 °C remain sidelined. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the mild regime or allow further nocturnal drops toward climatological norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
18°C 100.0%
16°C or below 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$1,005 Vol.
$1,005 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
16°C or below 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
$1,005 Vol.
$1,005 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
$16 Vol.
No
17°C
$26 Vol.
No
18°C
$476 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$146 Vol.
No
20°C
$154 Vol.
No
21°C
$37 Vol.
No
22°C
$10 Vol.
No
23°C
$15 Vol.
No
24°C
$42 Vol.
No
25°C
$42 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$42 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to moderating maritime influences and southeasterly flow keeping overnight minima near 23–24 °C for Qingdao on September 16, yet trader positioning centers on 17–18 °C outcomes because historical September climatology (average low 18 °C) and late-summer cooling episodes still anchor expectations. Coastal station data show rapid radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime peaks near 29 °C, with dew points near 14–18 °C supporting potential dips if winds weaken. Uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any unmodeled cold-air advection keeps the 16 °C-or-below and 17 °C bins competitive at 45 % each, while warmer thresholds above 19 °C remain sidelined. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the mild regime or allow further nocturnal drops toward climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,005Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to moderating maritime influences and southeasterly flow keeping overnight minima near 23–24 °C for Qingdao on September 16, yet trader positioning centers on 17–18 °C outcomes because historical September climatology (average low 18 °C) and late-summer cooling episodes still anchor expectations. Coastal station data show rapid radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime peaks near 29 °C, with dew points near 14–18 °C supporting potential dips if winds weaken. Uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any unmodeled cold-air advection keeps the 16 °C-or-below and 17 °C bins competitive at 45 % each, while warmer thresholds above 19 °C remain sidelined. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the mild regime or allow further nocturnal drops toward climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,005Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to moderating maritime influences and southeasterly flow keeping overnight minima near 23–24 °C for Qingdao on September 16, yet trader positioning centers on 17–18 °C outcomes because historical September climatology (average low 18 °C) and late-summer cooling episodes still anchor expectations. Coastal station data show rapid radiative cooling under clearing skies after daytime peaks near 29 °C, with dew points near 14–18 °C supporting potential dips if winds weaken. Uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any unmodeled cold-air advection keeps the 16 °C-or-below and 17 °C bins competitive at 45 % each, while warmer thresholds above 19 °C remain sidelined. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration later today will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the mild regime or allow further nocturnal drops toward climatological norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan