Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate mostly clear skies and light winds across Seoul overnight on May 17, promoting strong radiational cooling that favors a daily minimum near 14°C. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where stable high-pressure patterns often produce sharper overnight temperature drops than average, and supporting ensemble guidance from nearby stations shows consistent values. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certain implied probability given the short lead time and model convergence. The primary uncertainty stems from any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or wind before dawn, which could reduce radiative losses and nudge the observed low to 15°C or higher when final KMA data are recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,775 Vol.
$19,775 Vol.
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,775 Vol.
$19,775 Vol.
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,820 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,727 Vol.
100%
15°C
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$850 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,719 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,145 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,283 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$812 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate mostly clear skies and light winds across Seoul overnight on May 17, promoting strong radiational cooling that favors a daily minimum near 14°C. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where stable high-pressure patterns often produce sharper overnight temperature drops than average, and supporting ensemble guidance from nearby stations shows consistent values. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certain implied probability given the short lead time and model convergence. The primary uncertainty stems from any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or wind before dawn, which could reduce radiative losses and nudge the observed low to 15°C or higher when final KMA data are recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$19,775Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate mostly clear skies and light winds across Seoul overnight on May 17, promoting strong radiational cooling that favors a daily minimum near 14°C. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where stable high-pressure patterns often produce sharper overnight temperature drops than average, and supporting ensemble guidance from nearby stations shows consistent values. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certain implied probability given the short lead time and model convergence. The primary uncertainty stems from any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or wind before dawn, which could reduce radiative losses and nudge the observed low to 15°C or higher when final KMA data are recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,775Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate mostly clear skies and light winds across Seoul overnight on May 17, promoting strong radiational cooling that favors a daily minimum near 14°C. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where stable high-pressure patterns often produce sharper overnight temperature drops than average, and supporting ensemble guidance from nearby stations shows consistent values. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certain implied probability given the short lead time and model convergence. The primary uncertainty stems from any unexpected increase in low-level cloud cover or wind before dawn, which could reduce radiative losses and nudge the observed low to 15°C or higher when final KMA data are recorded between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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