Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight lows of 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 2, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–90%, extensive cloud cover, and moderate northerly winds that reduce radiative cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. These factors explain the tight clustering around 23–25°C in trader sentiment, with small differences arising from variations in precipitation timing, wind gusts, and urban heat retention that models resolve differently. Historical September baselines near 24°C provide context, while any late-model shifts in steering patterns or clearer skies could nudge the minimum lower. Updated runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?
25°C 100%
23°C 94%
24°C 93%
20°C or below 84%
20°C or below
84%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
94%
24°C
93%
25°C
100%
26°C
84%
27°C
47%
28°C
23%
29°C
48%
30°C or higher
48%
25°C 100%
23°C 94%
24°C 93%
20°C or below 84%
20°C or below
84%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
94%
24°C
93%
25°C
100%
26°C
84%
27°C
47%
28°C
23%
29°C
48%
30°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight lows of 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 2, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–90%, extensive cloud cover, and moderate northerly winds that reduce radiative cooling under subtropical monsoon conditions. These factors explain the tight clustering around 23–25°C in trader sentiment, with small differences arising from variations in precipitation timing, wind gusts, and urban heat retention that models resolve differently. Historical September baselines near 24°C provide context, while any late-model shifts in steering patterns or clearer skies could nudge the minimum lower. Updated runs and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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