Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and WindBorne Systems indicate a minimum temperature near 23–25°C overnight into September 11, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to northwesterly, and stable high pressure around 1012–1014 hPa that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread, while lower-probability tails capture residual model uncertainty in exact hourly minima and any localized urban heat effects. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or humidity rises.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
24°C 49%
18°C or below 46%
28°C or higher 42%
25°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
46%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
15%
24°C
46%
25°C
40%
26°C
20%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
42%
24°C 49%
18°C or below 46%
28°C or higher 42%
25°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
14%
21°C
$0 Vol.
34%
22°C
$7 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
15%
24°C
$53 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and WindBorne Systems indicate a minimum temperature near 23–25°C overnight into September 11, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to northwesterly, and stable high pressure around 1012–1014 hPa that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread, while lower-probability tails capture residual model uncertainty in exact hourly minima and any localized urban heat effects. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or humidity rises.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$60Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and WindBorne Systems indicate a minimum temperature near 23–25°C overnight into September 11, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to northwesterly, and stable high pressure around 1012–1014 hPa that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread, while lower-probability tails capture residual model uncertainty in exact hourly minima and any localized urban heat effects. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or humidity rises.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and WindBorne Systems indicate a minimum temperature near 23–25°C overnight into September 11, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to northwesterly, and stable high pressure around 1012–1014 hPa that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical September climatology for Tel Aviv shows typical overnight lows of 22–24°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with this baseline without significant advection of cooler air or cloud cover to alter the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 24°C and 23°C outcomes reflects this narrow forecast spread, while lower-probability tails capture residual model uncertainty in exact hourly minima and any localized urban heat effects. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or humidity rises.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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