Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a passing frontal system are keeping Tokyo's overnight minimum temperatures elevated near 21°C for September 6, according to the latest model consensus from agencies tracking the event. High humidity near 90% and minimal clear-sky radiative cooling overnight limit the typical diurnal drop, while daytime maxima hover around 23–25°C amid steady precipitation. These conditions align with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (50%) and 22°C (32.5%), as recent forecast runs show little deviation from this narrow range and no abrupt steering changes that would allow greater cooling. Official updates from monitoring centers through the evening will confirm whether any last adjustments shift the final recorded low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
21°C 50%
22°C 34%
20°C 17%
23°C 4%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
17%
21°C
50%
22°C
34%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 34%
20°C 17%
23°C 4%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
17%
21°C
50%
22°C
34%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a passing frontal system are keeping Tokyo's overnight minimum temperatures elevated near 21°C for September 6, according to the latest model consensus from agencies tracking the event. High humidity near 90% and minimal clear-sky radiative cooling overnight limit the typical diurnal drop, while daytime maxima hover around 23–25°C amid steady precipitation. These conditions align with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (50%) and 22°C (32.5%), as recent forecast runs show little deviation from this narrow range and no abrupt steering changes that would allow greater cooling. Official updates from monitoring centers through the evening will confirm whether any last adjustments shift the final recorded low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan