Recent forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Wuhan minimum temperatures on September 4 hovering near 22–24 °C, reflecting the market’s near-even odds among those outcomes. Seasonal transition from summer monsoon influences, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds over the Yangtze River valley, creates tight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and urban heat retention. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily low is confirmed, typically occurring pre-dawn. Historical September averages for the region fall in this range, with model spreads driven by subtle differences in humidity and frontal positioning that traders weigh against real-time updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
22°C 51%
23°C 51%
24°C 51%
21°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
51%
23°C
51%
24°C
51%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 51%
23°C 51%
24°C 51%
21°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
$104 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$122 Vol.
2%
20°C
$38 Vol.
2%
21°C
$16 Vol.
6%
22°C
$25 Vol.
51%
23°C
$0 Vol.
51%
24°C
$2 Vol.
51%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Wuhan minimum temperatures on September 4 hovering near 22–24 °C, reflecting the market’s near-even odds among those outcomes. Seasonal transition from summer monsoon influences, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds over the Yangtze River valley, creates tight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and urban heat retention. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily low is confirmed, typically occurring pre-dawn. Historical September averages for the region fall in this range, with model spreads driven by subtle differences in humidity and frontal positioning that traders weigh against real-time updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$417Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Wuhan minimum temperatures on September 4 hovering near 22–24 °C, reflecting the market’s near-even odds among those outcomes. Seasonal transition from summer monsoon influences, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds over the Yangtze River valley, creates tight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and urban heat retention. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily low is confirmed, typically occurring pre-dawn. Historical September averages for the region fall in this range, with model spreads driven by subtle differences in humidity and frontal positioning that traders weigh against real-time updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$417Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian weather patterns show Wuhan minimum temperatures on September 4 hovering near 22–24 °C, reflecting the market’s near-even odds among those outcomes. Seasonal transition from summer monsoon influences, combined with variable cloud cover and light winds over the Yangtze River valley, creates tight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and urban heat retention. Official observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily low is confirmed, typically occurring pre-dawn. Historical September averages for the region fall in this range, with model spreads driven by subtle differences in humidity and frontal positioning that traders weigh against real-time updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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