**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23, 2026 (93% implied probability), reflecting current forecast data showing overnight lows holding near or above that threshold.** August climatology for Zhengzhou places average overnight lows around 22°C (72°F), yet recent model guidance and real-time observations indicate a warmer pattern, with morning temperatures forecast near 25–28°C (77–82°F) under partly cloudy, humid conditions typical of late summer in Henan province. Official and ensemble forecasts emphasize persistent warm advection and limited diurnal cooling, keeping the minimum well above historical August norms for the date. The market's tight clustering around higher outcomes captures this consensus from skin-in-the-game traders monitoring National Meteorological Center updates and regional model runs. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear, dry skies—scenarios with low probability given the current subtropical high influence and short time remaining before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 23?
25°C or higher 99%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
19°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
9%
16°C
16%
17°C
14%
18°C
19%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C
18%
22°C
16%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
93%
25°C or higher 99%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
19°C 17%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$25 Vol.
9%
16°C
$25 Vol.
16%
17°C
$25 Vol.
14%
18°C
$25 Vol.
19%
19°C
$25 Vol.
17%
20°C
$25 Vol.
17%
21°C
$25 Vol.
18%
22°C
$38 Vol.
16%
23°C
$110 Vol.
9%
24°C
$94 Vol.
9%
25°C or higher
$353 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23, 2026 (93% implied probability), reflecting current forecast data showing overnight lows holding near or above that threshold.**
August climatology for Zhengzhou places average overnight lows around 22°C (72°F), yet recent model guidance and real-time observations indicate a warmer pattern, with morning temperatures forecast near 25–28°C (77–82°F) under partly cloudy, humid conditions typical of late summer in Henan province. Official and ensemble forecasts emphasize persistent warm advection and limited diurnal cooling, keeping the minimum well above historical August norms for the date. The market's tight clustering around higher outcomes captures this consensus from skin-in-the-game traders monitoring National Meteorological Center updates and regional model runs.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear, dry skies—scenarios with low probability given the current subtropical high influence and short time remaining before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$766Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23, 2026 (93% implied probability), reflecting current forecast data showing overnight lows holding near or above that threshold.**
August climatology for Zhengzhou places average overnight lows around 22°C (72°F), yet recent model guidance and real-time observations indicate a warmer pattern, with morning temperatures forecast near 25–28°C (77–82°F) under partly cloudy, humid conditions typical of late summer in Henan province. Official and ensemble forecasts emphasize persistent warm advection and limited diurnal cooling, keeping the minimum well above historical August norms for the date. The market's tight clustering around higher outcomes captures this consensus from skin-in-the-game traders monitoring National Meteorological Center updates and regional model runs.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear, dry skies—scenarios with low probability given the current subtropical high influence and short time remaining before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$766Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 23, 2026 (93% implied probability), reflecting current forecast data showing overnight lows holding near or above that threshold.** August climatology for Zhengzhou places average overnight lows around 22°C (72°F), yet recent model guidance and real-time observations indicate a warmer pattern, with morning temperatures forecast near 25–28°C (77–82°F) under partly cloudy, humid conditions typical of late summer in Henan province. Official and ensemble forecasts emphasize persistent warm advection and limited diurnal cooling, keeping the minimum well above historical August norms for the date. The market's tight clustering around higher outcomes captures this consensus from skin-in-the-game traders monitoring National Meteorological Center updates and regional model runs. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or rapid radiative cooling under clear, dry skies—scenarios with low probability given the current subtropical high influence and short time remaining before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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