Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 12?
18°C 99.5%
15°C or below 20%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,659 Vol.
$1,659 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 99.5%
15°C or below 20%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,659 Vol.
$1,659 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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