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icon for Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place

Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place

Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place

Carol 27%

Jeferson da Rocha 25%

Marcos Dorval 24%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 24%

Polymarket
BARU

Carol 27%

Jeferson da Rocha 25%

Marcos Dorval 24%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter 24%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Carol

Carol

$21 Vol.

27%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$21 Vol.

25%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$21 Vol.

24%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$21 Vol.

24%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$21 Vol.

23%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$21 Vol.

21%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$21 Vol.

21%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$21 Vol.

21%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$21 Vol.

20%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$21 Vol.

19%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$42 Vol.

23%

icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$42 Vol.

25%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$21 Vol.

12%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate race, where voters select two senators, trader consensus on second place remains closely divided among several contenders because the Partido Liberal (PL) fields two prominent candidates—Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni—whose combined strength dominates recent polling and could secure both seats. July and August surveys, including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, place the PL pair at the top while Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others trail, leaving the second slot dependent on vote splitting within the right-leaning bloc and turnout among center and left-leaning voters. Official candidate registrations closed recently, with limited new endorsements or campaign events yet shifting the balance. Any late consolidation of opposition support, stronger performance by Amin or PT figures, or shifts in PL voter preferences could separate the field before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$315
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina’s 2026 Senate race, where voters select two senators, trader consensus on second place remains closely divided among several contenders because the Partido Liberal (PL) fields two prominent candidates—Carlos Bolsonaro and Caroline de Toni—whose combined strength dominates recent polling and could secure both seats. July and August surveys, including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, place the PL pair at the top while Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others trail, leaving the second slot dependent on vote splitting within the right-leaning bloc and turnout among center and left-leaning voters. Official candidate registrations closed recently, with limited new endorsements or campaign events yet shifting the balance. Any late consolidation of opposition support, stronger performance by Amin or PT figures, or shifts in PL voter preferences could separate the field before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$315
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Carol" di 27%, diikuti oleh "Jeferson da Rocha" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 27¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Carol" di 27%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 27% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jeferson da Rocha" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.