Alabama's 2nd Congressional District race features Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures against Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with strong support including from President Trump. The district's lines were redrawn following a Supreme Court ruling on Alabama's map, shifting the seat toward a Republican lean reflected in ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This structural change, combined with the party's primary consolidation behind Marques and the absence of a Democratic primary contest, has shaped trader consensus around a Republican advantage heading into the November 3 special general election. Historical voting patterns in the adjusted district and limited recent polling further inform positioning, though the incumbent's name recognition remains a factor for the minority outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$39,563 Vol.
$39,563 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
26%
$39,563 Vol.
$39,563 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$20,300 Vol.
75%
Democratic Party
$19,264 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd Congressional District race features Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures against Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with strong support including from President Trump. The district's lines were redrawn following a Supreme Court ruling on Alabama's map, shifting the seat toward a Republican lean reflected in ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This structural change, combined with the party's primary consolidation behind Marques and the absence of a Democratic primary contest, has shaped trader consensus around a Republican advantage heading into the November 3 special general election. Historical voting patterns in the adjusted district and limited recent polling further inform positioning, though the incumbent's name recognition remains a factor for the minority outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$39,563Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd Congressional District race features Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures against Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with strong support including from President Trump. The district's lines were redrawn following a Supreme Court ruling on Alabama's map, shifting the seat toward a Republican lean reflected in ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This structural change, combined with the party's primary consolidation behind Marques and the absence of a Democratic primary contest, has shaped trader consensus around a Republican advantage heading into the November 3 special general election. Historical voting patterns in the adjusted district and limited recent polling further inform positioning, though the incumbent's name recognition remains a factor for the minority outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,563Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 2nd Congressional District race features Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures against Republican nominee Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with strong support including from President Trump. The district's lines were redrawn following a Supreme Court ruling on Alabama's map, shifting the seat toward a Republican lean reflected in ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report. This structural change, combined with the party's primary consolidation behind Marques and the absence of a Democratic primary contest, has shaped trader consensus around a Republican advantage heading into the November 3 special general election. Historical voting patterns in the adjusted district and limited recent polling further inform positioning, though the incumbent's name recognition remains a factor for the minority outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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