Tom Begich leads trader consensus in the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race at 37.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 24.5 percent, as recent polls from Alaska Survey Research and others show the former Democratic state senator ahead in a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18. The Republican field remains fragmented among more than a dozen candidates including Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Adam Crum, with no single contender consolidating support ahead of the ranked-choice general election on November 3. Begich’s early fundraising edge and name recognition among Democratic voters have positioned him as the frontrunner in the primary advancement stage, while Wilson’s standing reflects early Republican consolidation efforts in a state where the incumbent Republican governor is term-limited.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTom Begich 38%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.1%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$972,008 Vol.
$972,008 Vol.

Tom Begich
38%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
10%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
Tom Begich 38%
Bernadette Wilson 25%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 10.1%
Treg Taylor 10.1%
$972,008 Vol.
$972,008 Vol.

Tom Begich
38%

Bernadette Wilson
25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
10%

Treg Taylor
10%

Click Bishop
6%

Nancy Dahlstrom
6%

David Bronson
5%

Matt Heilala
1%

Adam Crum
1%

Mary Peltola
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Edna DeVries
<1%

Shelley Hughes
<1%

Lisa Murkowski
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Begich leads trader consensus in the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race at 37.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 24.5 percent, as recent polls from Alaska Survey Research and others show the former Democratic state senator ahead in a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18. The Republican field remains fragmented among more than a dozen candidates including Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Adam Crum, with no single contender consolidating support ahead of the ranked-choice general election on November 3. Begich’s early fundraising edge and name recognition among Democratic voters have positioned him as the frontrunner in the primary advancement stage, while Wilson’s standing reflects early Republican consolidation efforts in a state where the incumbent Republican governor is term-limited.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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