Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place VOX at 13-17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys converging on 15-17 under the d'Hondt allocation across the region's provinces. This distribution anchors the market's heaviest weighting on 16-18 seats, as VOX holds a stable 13-15% vote share without the sharper gains seen in other Spanish regions. The People's Party's projected outright majority near 55 seats further limits coalition leverage for VOX, while the Socialists' continued decline reinforces VOX's position as the third force. Late-campaign surveys showing modest upward drift to 17-19 seats sustain the narrow edge for the 16-18 band over lower or higher ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato16-18 49%
13-15 24%
19-21 11%
22+ 10.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
<13
4%
13-15
31%
16-18
45%
19-21
11%
22+
10%
16-18 49%
13-15 24%
19-21 11%
22+ 10.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 mag 2026
<13
$732 Vol.
4%
13-15
$765 Vol.
31%
16-18
$976 Vol.
45%
19-21
$1,769 Vol.
11%
22+
$2,943 Vol.
10%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place VOX at 13-17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys converging on 15-17 under the d'Hondt allocation across the region's provinces. This distribution anchors the market's heaviest weighting on 16-18 seats, as VOX holds a stable 13-15% vote share without the sharper gains seen in other Spanish regions. The People's Party's projected outright majority near 55 seats further limits coalition leverage for VOX, while the Socialists' continued decline reinforces VOX's position as the third force. Late-campaign surveys showing modest upward drift to 17-19 seats sustain the narrow edge for the 16-18 band over lower or higher ranges.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Volume
$7,177Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place VOX at 13-17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys converging on 15-17 under the d'Hondt allocation across the region's provinces. This distribution anchors the market's heaviest weighting on 16-18 seats, as VOX holds a stable 13-15% vote share without the sharper gains seen in other Spanish regions. The People's Party's projected outright majority near 55 seats further limits coalition leverage for VOX, while the Socialists' continued decline reinforces VOX's position as the third force. Late-campaign surveys showing modest upward drift to 17-19 seats sustain the narrow edge for the 16-18 band over lower or higher ranges.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$7,177Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place VOX at 13-17 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys converging on 15-17 under the d'Hondt allocation across the region's provinces. This distribution anchors the market's heaviest weighting on 16-18 seats, as VOX holds a stable 13-15% vote share without the sharper gains seen in other Spanish regions. The People's Party's projected outright majority near 55 seats further limits coalition leverage for VOX, while the Socialists' continued decline reinforces VOX's position as the third force. Late-campaign surveys showing modest upward drift to 17-19 seats sustain the narrow edge for the 16-18 band over lower or higher ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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