**Ryan Elijah leads the FL-07 Republican primary with strong trader consensus at 87%, driven by a late surge in local polling momentum ahead of the August 18 vote.** A Capital Strategic Partners survey released August 16 showed Elijah at 44% support among likely Republican primary voters, ahead of incumbent Cory Mills at 27%, with 19% undecided and 10% backing others. Elijah, a longtime Seminole County resident and former Orlando-area news anchor with name recognition in the district's media markets, has highlighted fundraising momentum and cash-on-hand advantages in recent weeks. Mills, the sitting representative seeking renomination, trails despite higher overall campaign receipts, as challenger messaging on district priorities such as immigration, fiscal policy, and local representation resonates in polling. Minor candidates Michael Johnson (listed as Mike Johnson) and Sarah Ulrich register under 1% in the same survey and command correspondingly low market prices around 0.1%. The primary's timing compresses remaining uncertainty, with traders pricing Elijah as the clear frontrunner based on the most recent head-to-head data and voter sentiment trends in this solidly Republican district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRyan Elijah 88%
Cory Mills 13%
Mike Johnson <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$49,656 Vol.
$49,656 Vol.
Ryan Elijah
88%
Cory Mills
13%
Mike Johnson
<1%
Sarah Ulrich
<1%
Ryan Elijah 88%
Cory Mills 13%
Mike Johnson <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$49,656 Vol.
$49,656 Vol.
Ryan Elijah
88%
Cory Mills
13%
Mike Johnson
<1%
Sarah Ulrich
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ryan Elijah leads the FL-07 Republican primary with strong trader consensus at 87%, driven by a late surge in local polling momentum ahead of the August 18 vote.** A Capital Strategic Partners survey released August 16 showed Elijah at 44% support among likely Republican primary voters, ahead of incumbent Cory Mills at 27%, with 19% undecided and 10% backing others. Elijah, a longtime Seminole County resident and former Orlando-area news anchor with name recognition in the district's media markets, has highlighted fundraising momentum and cash-on-hand advantages in recent weeks. Mills, the sitting representative seeking renomination, trails despite higher overall campaign receipts, as challenger messaging on district priorities such as immigration, fiscal policy, and local representation resonates in polling. Minor candidates Michael Johnson (listed as Mike Johnson) and Sarah Ulrich register under 1% in the same survey and command correspondingly low market prices around 0.1%. The primary's timing compresses remaining uncertainty, with traders pricing Elijah as the clear frontrunner based on the most recent head-to-head data and voter sentiment trends in this solidly Republican district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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