**Jared Moskowitz holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Florida’s newly redrawn 25th Congressional District, where the August 18 primary determines the nominee.** The district incorporates portions of prior seats that align with his moderate record and local profile, while he maintains a significant edge in fundraising and outside spending. Challenger Oliver Larkin, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America, has generated attention through progressive organizing and recent internal polling showing a statistical tie or narrow contest. However, traders price Moskowitz at 90% to win the nomination, reflecting the typical advantages of incumbency, campaign infrastructure, and voter familiarity in low-turnout primaries. The race remains the final major test of progressive strength in Florida’s midterm cycle, with resolution expected immediately after polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$84,577 Vol.
$84,577 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Jared Moskowitz
90%
Oliver Larkin
10%
$84,577 Vol.
$84,577 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$42,642 Vol.
90%
Oliver Larkin
$41,936 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jared Moskowitz holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Florida’s newly redrawn 25th Congressional District, where the August 18 primary determines the nominee.** The district incorporates portions of prior seats that align with his moderate record and local profile, while he maintains a significant edge in fundraising and outside spending. Challenger Oliver Larkin, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America, has generated attention through progressive organizing and recent internal polling showing a statistical tie or narrow contest. However, traders price Moskowitz at 90% to win the nomination, reflecting the typical advantages of incumbency, campaign infrastructure, and voter familiarity in low-turnout primaries. The race remains the final major test of progressive strength in Florida’s midterm cycle, with resolution expected immediately after polls close.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Volume
$84,577Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Jared Moskowitz holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Florida’s newly redrawn 25th Congressional District, where the August 18 primary determines the nominee.** The district incorporates portions of prior seats that align with his moderate record and local profile, while he maintains a significant edge in fundraising and outside spending. Challenger Oliver Larkin, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America, has generated attention through progressive organizing and recent internal polling showing a statistical tie or narrow contest. However, traders price Moskowitz at 90% to win the nomination, reflecting the typical advantages of incumbency, campaign infrastructure, and voter familiarity in low-turnout primaries. The race remains the final major test of progressive strength in Florida’s midterm cycle, with resolution expected immediately after polls close.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$84,577Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 26, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Jared Moskowitz holds a strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Florida’s newly redrawn 25th Congressional District, where the August 18 primary determines the nominee.** The district incorporates portions of prior seats that align with his moderate record and local profile, while he maintains a significant edge in fundraising and outside spending. Challenger Oliver Larkin, backed by the Democratic Socialists of America, has generated attention through progressive organizing and recent internal polling showing a statistical tie or narrow contest. However, traders price Moskowitz at 90% to win the nomination, reflecting the typical advantages of incumbency, campaign infrastructure, and voter familiarity in low-turnout primaries. The race remains the final major test of progressive strength in Florida’s midterm cycle, with resolution expected immediately after polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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