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icon for Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto

Fufuca 28%

Simplício Araújo 28%

Raimundo Moreira 28%

Wilson Leite 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Fufuca 28%

Simplício Araújo 28%

Raimundo Moreira 28%

Wilson Leite 27%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$0 Vol.

21%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Maranhão’s 2026 Senate race reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, including incumbents Eliziane Gama (PT) and Weverton Rocha (PDT) alongside high-profile challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO). Recent Ippi polling released in mid-August shows Sarney leading while four names remain within the margin of error for the second vacancy, driven by voter indecision and regional alliances. Party conventions concluded in early August, locking in the ballot and sharpening competition for the remaining seat. Trader consensus prices these contenders closely because modest shifts in turnout, last-minute endorsements, or state-level coalition deals could reorder the lower rankings before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

60%
icon for Il maggiore Fábio otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Paraíba del 2026?

Il maggiore Fábio otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Paraíba del 2026?

27%
Sì
icon for Mauro Mendes otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Mato Grosso del 2026?

Mauro Mendes otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Mato Grosso del 2026?

28%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Fufuca" a 28%, seguito da "Simplício Araújo" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 28¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" è "Fufuca" a 28%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Simplício Araújo" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni del Senato del Maranhão: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.