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icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto

icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto

Marília Arraes 68%

Túlio Gadêlha 14.0%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 13.5%

Mailson da Silva Neto 12%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Marília Arraes 68%

Túlio Gadêlha 14.0%

Pastor Gilvan Costa 13.5%

Mailson da Silva Neto 12%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$281 Vol.

76%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$116 Vol.

14%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$116 Vol.

14%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$140 Vol.

15%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$123 Vol.

6%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$116 Vol.

5%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$116 Vol.

5%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$113 Vol.

2%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$116 Vol.

18%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$116 Vol.

12%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$113 Vol.

1%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$113 Vol.

1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,581
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,581
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

Paulo Rubem Santiago otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

44%
Sì
icon for Will Rosilene Santana win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Rosilene Santana win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

41%
icon for Tiago otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Tiago otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

28%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marília Arraes" a 76%, seguito da "Eduardo da Fonte" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 76¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è "Marília Arraes" a 76%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Eduardo da Fonte" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.