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icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto

icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto

Samuel Timoteo 28%

Mariano Macedo 26%

Carlos Sant'Anna 26%

Túlio Gadêlha 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Samuel Timoteo 28%

Mariano Macedo 26%

Carlos Sant'Anna 26%

Túlio Gadêlha 26%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$0 Vol.

21%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pernambuco Senate race for the second seat, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no single challenger has consolidated support behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent August polling from Real Time Big Data shows Arraes at 29% while Humberto Costa, Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, and Túlio Gadêlha cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with several other names including Samuel Timoteo, Gorett Bitu, and Carlos Sant'Anna within a few points amid high undecided shares. Party alliances, candidate positioning across PT, PDT, PL, PP, PSD, and smaller groups, plus ongoing convention dynamics continue to keep the contest open, with modest shifts in local surveys or late endorsements likely to reorder the middle of the pack before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Pernambuco Senate race for the second seat, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no single challenger has consolidated support behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent August polling from Real Time Big Data shows Arraes at 29% while Humberto Costa, Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte, and Túlio Gadêlha cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with several other names including Samuel Timoteo, Gorett Bitu, and Carlos Sant'Anna within a few points amid high undecided shares. Party alliances, candidate positioning across PT, PDT, PL, PP, PSD, and smaller groups, plus ongoing convention dynamics continue to keep the contest open, with modest shifts in local surveys or late endorsements likely to reorder the middle of the pack before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

76%
icon for Il maggiore Fábio otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Paraíba del 2026?

Il maggiore Fábio otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Paraíba del 2026?

27%
Sì
icon for Guto Felício dos Santos otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Guto Felício dos Santos otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

38%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Samuel Timoteo" a 28%, seguito da "Mariano Macedo" a 26%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 28¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" è "Samuel Timoteo" a 28%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Mariano Macedo" a 26%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 2° Posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.