**Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 12, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere produced typical cool, cloudy weather with limited diurnal warming, aligning closely with seasonal averages around 15°C highs but settling precisely at the 12°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects completed data collection rather than forecasts, with negligible odds on adjacent values underscoring the resolution's clarity. Minor revisions to station readings or alternative measurement criteria remain theoretically possible but have near-zero historical precedent at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 12 agosto?
12°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$44,774 Vol.
$44,774 Vol.
12 ago 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$44,774 Vol.
$44,774 Vol.
12 ago 2026
9°C or below
$2,472 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,259 Vol.
No
11°C
$6,750 Vol.
No
12°C
$11,145 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$7,613 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,954 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,134 Vol.
No
16°C
$890 Vol.
No
17°C
$272 Vol.
No
18°C
$272 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$5,013 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 12, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere produced typical cool, cloudy weather with limited diurnal warming, aligning closely with seasonal averages around 15°C highs but settling precisely at the 12°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects completed data collection rather than forecasts, with negligible odds on adjacent values underscoring the resolution's clarity. Minor revisions to station readings or alternative measurement criteria remain theoretically possible but have near-zero historical precedent at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$44,774Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 12, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere produced typical cool, cloudy weather with limited diurnal warming, aligning closely with seasonal averages around 15°C highs but settling precisely at the 12°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects completed data collection rather than forecasts, with negligible odds on adjacent values underscoring the resolution's clarity. Minor revisions to station readings or alternative measurement criteria remain theoretically possible but have near-zero historical precedent at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,774Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirm a daily maximum of 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 12, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome.** Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere produced typical cool, cloudy weather with limited diurnal warming, aligning closely with seasonal averages around 15°C highs but settling precisely at the 12°C threshold. Trader consensus reflects completed data collection rather than forecasts, with negligible odds on adjacent values underscoring the resolution's clarity. Minor revisions to station readings or alternative measurement criteria remain theoretically possible but have near-zero historical precedent at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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