Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$330,201 Vol.
$330,201 Vol.
14 mag 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$330,201 Vol.
$330,201 Vol.
14 mag 2026
21°C or below
$3,621 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,675 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,580 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,298 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,131 Vol.
No
26°C
$33,172 Vol.
No
27°C
$34,023 Vol.
No
28°C
$78,510 Vol.
No
29°C
$69,090 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$62,661 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$28,439 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$330,201Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$330,201Data di fine
14 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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