Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco il 17 maggio?
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 Vol.
$16,746 Vol.
17 mag 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
32%
16°C
47%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 Vol.
$16,746 Vol.
17 mag 2026
11°C or below
$562 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,105 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,399 Vol.
5%
15°C
$2,197 Vol.
32%
16°C
$1,733 Vol.
47%
17°C
$1,842 Vol.
18%
18°C
$1,296 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,054 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,203 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$16,746Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,746Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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