Latest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicates a daily maximum near 18 °C at Munich Airport on May 19 under moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits peak heating. Mid-May climatology centers on 17–19 °C, and current model runs show suppressed Atlantic warmth keeping temperatures within this narrow band, positioning 18 °C as the consensus outcome while leaving 17 °C and 19 °C competitive. Afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing remain the key variables that could shift the peak by one degree. Updated high-resolution ICON runs and hourly observations through May 18 will further refine the range ahead of the market’s resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 19 maggio?
18°C 37%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
16°C 11%
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
26%
18°C
37%
19°C
23%
20°C
5%
21°C o superiore
1%
18°C 37%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
16°C 11%
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
26%
18°C
37%
19°C
23%
20°C
5%
21°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMLatest ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicates a daily maximum near 18 °C at Munich Airport on May 19 under moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits peak heating. Mid-May climatology centers on 17–19 °C, and current model runs show suppressed Atlantic warmth keeping temperatures within this narrow band, positioning 18 °C as the consensus outcome while leaving 17 °C and 19 °C competitive. Afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing remain the key variables that could shift the peak by one degree. Updated high-resolution ICON runs and hourly observations through May 18 will further refine the range ahead of the market’s resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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