Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on May 17 will likely reach or exceed 35°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability for that threshold. Springtime warming patterns combined with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow are expected to drive daytime highs well above the May climatological average of 28–29°C, with limited overnight cooling supporting sustained heat. Official monitoring data show no significant moderating factors such as sea-breeze strengthening or frontal passages in the short-term outlook, reinforcing trader consensus around the elevated range while leaving room for minor downward revisions if model runs shift before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 17 maggio?
35°C or higher 63%
34°C 33%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
NUOVO
$19,754 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,754 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
63%
35°C or higher 63%
34°C 33%
33°C <1%
32°C <1%
NUOVO
$19,754 Vol.
NUOVO
$19,754 Vol.
17 mag 2026
25°C or below
$6,743 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$690 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,458 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,046 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$899 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$692 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,341 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,470 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,662 Vol.
33%
35°C or higher
$2,722 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on May 17 will likely reach or exceed 35°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability for that threshold. Springtime warming patterns combined with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow are expected to drive daytime highs well above the May climatological average of 28–29°C, with limited overnight cooling supporting sustained heat. Official monitoring data show no significant moderating factors such as sea-breeze strengthening or frontal passages in the short-term outlook, reinforcing trader consensus around the elevated range while leaving room for minor downward revisions if model runs shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$19,754Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on May 17 will likely reach or exceed 35°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability for that threshold. Springtime warming patterns combined with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow are expected to drive daytime highs well above the May climatological average of 28–29°C, with limited overnight cooling supporting sustained heat. Official monitoring data show no significant moderating factors such as sea-breeze strengthening or frontal passages in the short-term outlook, reinforcing trader consensus around the elevated range while leaving room for minor downward revisions if model runs shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,754Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on May 17 will likely reach or exceed 35°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability for that threshold. Springtime warming patterns combined with minimal cloud cover and southerly flow are expected to drive daytime highs well above the May climatological average of 28–29°C, with limited overnight cooling supporting sustained heat. Official monitoring data show no significant moderating factors such as sea-breeze strengthening or frontal passages in the short-term outlook, reinforcing trader consensus around the elevated range while leaving room for minor downward revisions if model runs shift before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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