Recent PAGASA forecasts indicate partly cloudy to cloudy conditions over Metro Manila on May 16, with localized afternoon or evening thunderstorms driven by daytime heating and the dissipating low-pressure system. These convective patterns typically moderate peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and triggering brief rainfall, keeping the daily maximum near the seasonal norm of 33–34 °C. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited intensification potential due to moderate humidity and light steering winds, resulting in tight market spreads between 34 °C and 35 °C. Any delay in thunderstorm development or stronger insolation could push readings slightly higher, while earlier cloud build-up would favor the lower outcome. Updated PAGASA bulletins later today will refine the resolution window.