Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Tel Aviv’s September 6 maximum temperature squarely between 31 °C and 32 °C, producing the near-even market split. Westerly flow off the Mediterranean, moderate humidity near 60 percent, and limited cloud cover support daytime heating to these levels, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical highs of 29–30 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak and could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 6 settembre?
31°C 49%
32°C 43%
33°C 6%
29°C 5%
28°C o inferiore
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
49%
32°C
43%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 43%
33°C 6%
29°C 5%
28°C o inferiore
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
49%
32°C
43%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models place Tel Aviv’s September 6 maximum temperature squarely between 31 °C and 32 °C, producing the near-even market split. Westerly flow off the Mediterranean, moderate humidity near 60 percent, and limited cloud cover support daytime heating to these levels, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing create the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September climatology shows typical highs of 29–30 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. Updated model runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak and could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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