Current forecasts from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C in Wellington on May 17, aligning closely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects typical mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar heating suppress warming near the long-term May average high of 14°C. Official resolution depends on the highest recorded temperature at Wellington’s primary monitoring stations. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow modest warming above 15°C, though ensemble consensus shows low probability of such deviations before the market closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 maggio?
14°C 99.8%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,935 Vol.
$53,935 Vol.
17 mag 2026
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 99.8%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,935 Vol.
$53,935 Vol.
17 mag 2026
8°C o inferiore
$4,661 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,007 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,263 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,921 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,851 Vol.
100%
15°C
$4,663 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,352 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
18°C o superiore
$4,824 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C in Wellington on May 17, aligning closely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects typical mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar heating suppress warming near the long-term May average high of 14°C. Official resolution depends on the highest recorded temperature at Wellington’s primary monitoring stations. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow modest warming above 15°C, though ensemble consensus shows low probability of such deviations before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$53,935Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C in Wellington on May 17, aligning closely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects typical mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar heating suppress warming near the long-term May average high of 14°C. Official resolution depends on the highest recorded temperature at Wellington’s primary monitoring stations. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow modest warming above 15°C, though ensemble consensus shows low probability of such deviations before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,935Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNCurrent forecasts from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C in Wellington on May 17, aligning closely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects typical mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar heating suppress warming near the long-term May average high of 14°C. Official resolution depends on the highest recorded temperature at Wellington’s primary monitoring stations. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow modest warming above 15°C, though ensemble consensus shows low probability of such deviations before the market closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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