Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 18 maggio?
14°C 54%
15°C 35%
13°C 12.8%
16°C 2.7%
NUOVO
$24,132 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,132 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C o meno
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
13%
14°C
54%
15°C
35%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
14°C 54%
15°C 35%
13°C 12.8%
16°C 2.7%
NUOVO
$24,132 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,132 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C o meno
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,754 Vol.
2%
13°C
$3,476 Vol.
13%
14°C
$3,083 Vol.
54%
15°C
$2,235 Vol.
35%
16°C
$4,170 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,183 Vol.
1%
18°C o superiore
$960 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$24,132Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,132Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNLatest MetService New Zealand forecasts and numerical weather prediction model runs indicate a stable high-pressure regime over Wellington on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 14–15°C with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors moderate daytime heating consistent with mid-autumn climatology, where average highs range 14–16°C, while limiting convective or advective cooling from southerly flows. Recent ensemble consensus shows tight agreement with low spread, reducing the likelihood of significant deviations and aligning trader sentiment toward the 14°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Final official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market by midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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