Recent July 2026 FOMC minutes and the 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% underscore persistent internal divisions over elevated inflation near 3.4% and a resilient labor market. With futures markets pricing gradual tightening toward 3.8%-4% by year-end, trader-implied odds for December dissent cluster tightly because incoming CPI, employment, and growth data could either unify the committee around steady policy or widen splits on whether to hike. Historical precedent of infrequent but clustered dissents during inflationary periods supports the balanced probabilities across one to four or more opposing votes, highlighting how each upcoming data release remains a key swing factor before the December 8-9 meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 17.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 dic 2026
0
16%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 17.4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 dic 2026
0
$6,060 Vol.
16%
1
$314 Vol.
17%
2
$134 Vol.
24%
3
$153 Vol.
24%
4+
$168 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July 2026 FOMC minutes and the 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% underscore persistent internal divisions over elevated inflation near 3.4% and a resilient labor market. With futures markets pricing gradual tightening toward 3.8%-4% by year-end, trader-implied odds for December dissent cluster tightly because incoming CPI, employment, and growth data could either unify the committee around steady policy or widen splits on whether to hike. Historical precedent of infrequent but clustered dissents during inflationary periods supports the balanced probabilities across one to four or more opposing votes, highlighting how each upcoming data release remains a key swing factor before the December 8-9 meeting.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$6,829Data di fine
9 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July 2026 FOMC minutes and the 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% underscore persistent internal divisions over elevated inflation near 3.4% and a resilient labor market. With futures markets pricing gradual tightening toward 3.8%-4% by year-end, trader-implied odds for December dissent cluster tightly because incoming CPI, employment, and growth data could either unify the committee around steady policy or widen splits on whether to hike. Historical precedent of infrequent but clustered dissents during inflationary periods supports the balanced probabilities across one to four or more opposing votes, highlighting how each upcoming data release remains a key swing factor before the December 8-9 meeting.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,829Data di fine
9 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 FOMC minutes and the 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% underscore persistent internal divisions over elevated inflation near 3.4% and a resilient labor market. With futures markets pricing gradual tightening toward 3.8%-4% by year-end, trader-implied odds for December dissent cluster tightly because incoming CPI, employment, and growth data could either unify the committee around steady policy or widen splits on whether to hike. Historical precedent of infrequent but clustered dissents during inflationary periods supports the balanced probabilities across one to four or more opposing votes, highlighting how each upcoming data release remains a key swing factor before the December 8-9 meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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