Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent levels, including a 10-2 vote in January 2026, 8-4 in April, and 9-3 in July, driven by divisions over holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid above-target inflation and mixed labor data. With Chair Kevin Warsh now leading a committee that includes hawkish regional presidents and governors like Stephen Miran favoring cuts, trader sentiment for the January 2027 meeting centers on the rotating voter slate, incoming economic releases, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance. The closely matched odds across 0–4 dissents reflect uncertainty about whether persistent price pressures or moderating growth will consolidate views or sustain splits near historical highs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti dissensi alla riunione della Fed di gennaio?
3 29%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
29%
4+
16%
3 29%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
29%
4+
16%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have featured elevated dissent levels, including a 10-2 vote in January 2026, 8-4 in April, and 9-3 in July, driven by divisions over holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid above-target inflation and mixed labor data. With Chair Kevin Warsh now leading a committee that includes hawkish regional presidents and governors like Stephen Miran favoring cuts, trader sentiment for the January 2027 meeting centers on the rotating voter slate, incoming economic releases, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance. The closely matched odds across 0–4 dissents reflect uncertainty about whether persistent price pressures or moderating growth will consolidate views or sustain splits near historical highs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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