Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIsraele si ritira dal Libano entro...?
Israele si ritira dal Libano entro...?
$1,543,353 Vol.
30 giu 2026
31 maggio
1%
30 giugno
7%
$1,543,353 Vol.
31 maggio
$1,237,290 Vol.
1%
30 giugno
$231,056 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volume
$1,543,353Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,543,353Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel and Lebanon extended their April 16 ceasefire by 45 days following US-brokered talks in Washington that concluded on May 15, with further political negotiations scheduled for early June and a separate security track set for late May. The extension aims to advance discussions on Israeli forces' full withdrawal from southern Lebanon, Hezbollah disarmament, border demarcation along the Blue Line, and reconstruction, though Israeli airstrikes and a maintained buffer zone have continued amid concerns over enforcement. These developments reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts to implement elements of prior UN resolutions while addressing security arrangements in the region.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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