Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.9% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Taiwan Legislative Yuan's insurmountable 85-vote threshold—three-fourths of its 113 seats—for initiating proceedings, which KMT-TPP opposition caucuses (60 seats) cannot reach despite DPP's 51. Recent hearings in January and a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 underscore political tensions over Lai's refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, but no defections or bipartisan support have emerged to bridge the gap. Only extraordinary cross-party realignments or scandals could alter outcomes before resolution, though historical precedents favor procedural failure in divided legislatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLai Ching-te messa sotto accusa entro il 30 giugno?
Lai Ching-te messa sotto accusa entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$618,585 Vol.
$618,585 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$618,585 Vol.
$618,585 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.9% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Taiwan Legislative Yuan's insurmountable 85-vote threshold—three-fourths of its 113 seats—for initiating proceedings, which KMT-TPP opposition caucuses (60 seats) cannot reach despite DPP's 51. Recent hearings in January and a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 underscore political tensions over Lai's refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, but no defections or bipartisan support have emerged to bridge the gap. Only extraordinary cross-party realignments or scandals could alter outcomes before resolution, though historical precedents favor procedural failure in divided legislatures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$618,585Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.9% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Taiwan Legislative Yuan's insurmountable 85-vote threshold—three-fourths of its 113 seats—for initiating proceedings, which KMT-TPP opposition caucuses (60 seats) cannot reach despite DPP's 51. Recent hearings in January and a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 underscore political tensions over Lai's refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, but no defections or bipartisan support have emerged to bridge the gap. Only extraordinary cross-party realignments or scandals could alter outcomes before resolution, though historical precedents favor procedural failure in divided legislatures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$618,585Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.9% for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30, driven by the Taiwan Legislative Yuan's insurmountable 85-vote threshold—three-fourths of its 113 seats—for initiating proceedings, which KMT-TPP opposition caucuses (60 seats) cannot reach despite DPP's 51. Recent hearings in January and a symbolic roll-call vote scheduled for May 19 underscore political tensions over Lai's refusal to countersign fiscal legislation, but no defections or bipartisan support have emerged to bridge the gap. Only extraordinary cross-party realignments or scandals could alter outcomes before resolution, though historical precedents favor procedural failure in divided legislatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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