Recent National Weather Service and model guidance place the Monday night low for Austin in the mid-70s, with consensus lows of 75–78 °F under clear skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and dew points near 65–70 °F that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This positions the 74–75 °F bin as the slight market leader over 73 °F or below because current ensemble runs and persistence from recent 75–80 °F minima favor the higher side of the range, while modest uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects keeps the two bins nearly tied. No frontal passage or increased moisture is expected before resolution, so updated NWS point forecasts and morning observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Austin il 24 agosto?
74-75°F 37%
86-87°F 36%
73°F o inferiore 35%
76-77°F 21%
73°F o inferiore
35%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
74-75°F 37%
86-87°F 36%
73°F o inferiore 35%
76-77°F 21%
73°F o inferiore
35%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance place the Monday night low for Austin in the mid-70s, with consensus lows of 75–78 °F under clear skies, southerly winds of 5–10 mph, and dew points near 65–70 °F that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This positions the 74–75 °F bin as the slight market leader over 73 °F or below because current ensemble runs and persistence from recent 75–80 °F minima favor the higher side of the range, while modest uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat-island effects keeps the two bins nearly tied. No frontal passage or increased moisture is expected before resolution, so updated NWS point forecasts and morning observations will be the key near-term drivers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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