Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on August 29 most likely between 11–13 °C, driven by persistent southerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and light showers associated with a passing frontal system that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions contrast with clearer, drier patterns that could allow the mercury to dip to 10 °C or lower, while stronger mixing or delayed clearing would support readings near 14 °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 11–13 °C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any rain cessation and wind shift before dawn.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Capo il 29 agosto?
15°C 50%
10°C 27%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
7°C or below
8%
8°C
4%
9°C
10%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
15°C 50%
10°C 27%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
7°C or below
8%
8°C
4%
9°C
10%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international sources indicate a minimum temperature in Cape Town on August 29 most likely between 11–13 °C, driven by persistent southerly winds, widespread cloud cover, and light showers associated with a passing frontal system that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions contrast with clearer, drier patterns that could allow the mercury to dip to 10 °C or lower, while stronger mixing or delayed clearing would support readings near 14 °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 11–13 °C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any rain cessation and wind shift before dawn.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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