**Strong scientific consensus from official forecasts supports the near-certain market outcome of an 18°C minimum in London on August 13, 2026.** Persistent high-pressure conditions have driven a heatwave across southern England, with Met Office guidance indicating daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 20–21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show minimal overnight temperature drops due to elevated dew points and urban heat-island effects in Greater London. Historical August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) underscores how anomalous the current setup is. The dominant 18°C positioning reflects aggregated trader analysis of these stable patterns. Only an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or substantial cloud cover late in the period could realistically push the minimum below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 13 agosto?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,496 Vol.
$16,496 Vol.
13 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,496 Vol.
$16,496 Vol.
13 ago 2026
14°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$546 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,362 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,214 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,769 Vol.
100%
19°C
$3,850 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,165 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$281 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus from official forecasts supports the near-certain market outcome of an 18°C minimum in London on August 13, 2026.** Persistent high-pressure conditions have driven a heatwave across southern England, with Met Office guidance indicating daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 20–21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show minimal overnight temperature drops due to elevated dew points and urban heat-island effects in Greater London. Historical August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) underscores how anomalous the current setup is. The dominant 18°C positioning reflects aggregated trader analysis of these stable patterns. Only an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or substantial cloud cover late in the period could realistically push the minimum below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,496Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong scientific consensus from official forecasts supports the near-certain market outcome of an 18°C minimum in London on August 13, 2026.** Persistent high-pressure conditions have driven a heatwave across southern England, with Met Office guidance indicating daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 20–21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show minimal overnight temperature drops due to elevated dew points and urban heat-island effects in Greater London. Historical August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) underscores how anomalous the current setup is. The dominant 18°C positioning reflects aggregated trader analysis of these stable patterns. Only an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or substantial cloud cover late in the period could realistically push the minimum below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,496Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong scientific consensus from official forecasts supports the near-certain market outcome of an 18°C minimum in London on August 13, 2026.** Persistent high-pressure conditions have driven a heatwave across southern England, with Met Office guidance indicating daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows stabilizing around 20–21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show minimal overnight temperature drops due to elevated dew points and urban heat-island effects in Greater London. Historical August climatology (typical lows 14–16°C) underscores how anomalous the current setup is. The dominant 18°C positioning reflects aggregated trader analysis of these stable patterns. Only an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or substantial cloud cover late in the period could realistically push the minimum below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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