Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station on May 17, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket above 96 percent. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 10–12°C amid moderate westerly flow and limited radiational cooling under cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in this range, with minimal risk of deeper cooling from clear skies or northerly advection. Traders appear to discount outlier runs projecting 9°C or lower, as surface observations and guidance updates through the morning have remained stable. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by 12:00 UTC, with any late-model shift or station-specific variance the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 17 maggio?
10°C 96.5%
9°C 2.3%
8°C <1%
2°C o inferiore <1%
$7,184 Vol.
$7,184 Vol.
17 mag 2026
2°C o inferiore
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
97%
11°C
<1%
12°C o superiore
<1%
10°C 96.5%
9°C 2.3%
8°C <1%
2°C o inferiore <1%
$7,184 Vol.
$7,184 Vol.
17 mag 2026
2°C o inferiore
$384 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$996 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$782 Vol.
2%
10°C
$546 Vol.
97%
11°C
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
12°C o superiore
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station on May 17, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket above 96 percent. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 10–12°C amid moderate westerly flow and limited radiational cooling under cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in this range, with minimal risk of deeper cooling from clear skies or northerly advection. Traders appear to discount outlier runs projecting 9°C or lower, as surface observations and guidance updates through the morning have remained stable. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by 12:00 UTC, with any late-model shift or station-specific variance the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$7,184Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station on May 17, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket above 96 percent. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 10–12°C amid moderate westerly flow and limited radiational cooling under cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in this range, with minimal risk of deeper cooling from clear skies or northerly advection. Traders appear to discount outlier runs projecting 9°C or lower, as surface observations and guidance updates through the morning have remained stable. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by 12:00 UTC, with any late-model shift or station-specific variance the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$7,184Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate an overnight minimum near 10°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station on May 17, driving the market-implied probability for that bracket above 96 percent. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average lows hover around 10–12°C amid moderate westerly flow and limited radiational cooling under cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows low uncertainty in this range, with minimal risk of deeper cooling from clear skies or northerly advection. Traders appear to discount outlier runs projecting 9°C or lower, as surface observations and guidance updates through the morning have remained stable. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum recorded by 12:00 UTC, with any late-model shift or station-specific variance the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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