Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest winds, yielding minimum temperatures of 12–14°C for Paris on September 16. After a warmer period with highs near 32°C, a shift to Atlantic air has lowered daytime maxima to around 22°C, allowing lows to settle near the seasonal average of 11.5°C. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the narrow distribution favoring 13°C and 14°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C if clouds or winds deviate slightly from current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 16 settembre?
13°C 41%
14°C 37%
12°C 16%
15°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
8%
12°C
16%
13°C
41%
14°C
37%
15°C
13%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C o superiore
2%
13°C 41%
14°C 37%
12°C 16%
15°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
11°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
8%
12°C
$167 Vol.
16%
13°C
$411 Vol.
41%
14°C
$743 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest winds, yielding minimum temperatures of 12–14°C for Paris on September 16. After a warmer period with highs near 32°C, a shift to Atlantic air has lowered daytime maxima to around 22°C, allowing lows to settle near the seasonal average of 11.5°C. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the narrow distribution favoring 13°C and 14°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C if clouds or winds deviate slightly from current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,322Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest winds, yielding minimum temperatures of 12–14°C for Paris on September 16. After a warmer period with highs near 32°C, a shift to Atlantic air has lowered daytime maxima to around 22°C, allowing lows to settle near the seasonal average of 11.5°C. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the narrow distribution favoring 13°C and 14°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C if clouds or winds deviate slightly from current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,322Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northwest winds, yielding minimum temperatures of 12–14°C for Paris on September 16. After a warmer period with highs near 32°C, a shift to Atlantic air has lowered daytime maxima to around 22°C, allowing lows to settle near the seasonal average of 11.5°C. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the narrow distribution favoring 13°C and 14°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or 15°C if clouds or winds deviate slightly from current guidance. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti