Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops below this threshold, aligning closely with the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for 20°C. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 21–24°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow slightly lower readings, though current model consensus and official guidance make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 14 giugno?
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C o inferiore <1%
$54,061 Vol.
$54,061 Vol.
14 giu 2026
17°C o inferiore
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 98.6%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C o inferiore <1%
$54,061 Vol.
$54,061 Vol.
14 giu 2026
17°C o inferiore
$2,214 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,540 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,562 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,896 Vol.
99%
21°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,841 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,623 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,799 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
27°C o superiore
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops below this threshold, aligning closely with the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for 20°C. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 21–24°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow slightly lower readings, though current model consensus and official guidance make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$54,061Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops below this threshold, aligning closely with the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for 20°C. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 21–24°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow slightly lower readings, though current model consensus and official guidance make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,061Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation typical of the early Meiyu (plum rain) season. High humidity and reduced radiative cooling under overcast skies limit temperature drops below this threshold, aligning closely with the market's overwhelming 98.7% implied probability for 20°C. Historical June climatology shows average lows near 21–24°C, providing additional context for the tight clustering around this outcome. A sudden clearing of skies or unexpected shift in steering patterns could allow slightly lower readings, though current model consensus and official guidance make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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