Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 14 giugno?
20°C 100.0%
17°C o inferiore <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$62,314 Vol.
$62,314 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o superiore
No
20°C 100.0%
17°C o inferiore <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$62,314 Vol.
$62,314 Vol.
17°C o inferiore
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Current meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience persistent cloud cover and light rain on June 14, limiting daytime heating while maintaining overnight lows near 20°C through reduced radiative cooling and moderate southerly flow. This aligns with typical early-summer plum rain conditions, where average June minima hover around 21–24°C but localized moisture and overcast skies often anchor the daily low at or just below 20°C. Trader consensus at 100% for this outcome reflects high confidence in official station data resolution. A sudden shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly advection could allow temperatures to dip lower, though model runs show low probability of such changes before midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti