Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels above 90 percent that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to lingering moisture from recent southerly flow, keep overnight lows elevated compared to clearer scenarios that could dip toward 20°C or below under stronger radiational losses. Trader sentiment remains closely split because model runs show minor variations in timing of cloud breaks and precipitation intensity, with official thresholds hinging on the precise lowest hourly reading from local stations. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether enhanced mixing or additional rainfall shifts the final minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 15 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 15 settembre?
23°C 89%
20°C o inferiore 88%
21°C 88%
22°C 87%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
88%
21°C
88%
22°C
87%
23°C
89%
24°C
6%
25°C
41%
26°C
52%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 89%
20°C o inferiore 88%
21°C 88%
22°C 87%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
88%
21°C
$10 Vol.
88%
22°C
$100 Vol.
87%
23°C
$128 Vol.
89%
24°C
$96 Vol.
6%
25°C
$22 Vol.
41%
26°C
$87 Vol.
52%
27°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels above 90 percent that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to lingering moisture from recent southerly flow, keep overnight lows elevated compared to clearer scenarios that could dip toward 20°C or below under stronger radiational losses. Trader sentiment remains closely split because model runs show minor variations in timing of cloud breaks and precipitation intensity, with official thresholds hinging on the precise lowest hourly reading from local stations. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether enhanced mixing or additional rainfall shifts the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$863Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels above 90 percent that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to lingering moisture from recent southerly flow, keep overnight lows elevated compared to clearer scenarios that could dip toward 20°C or below under stronger radiational losses. Trader sentiment remains closely split because model runs show minor variations in timing of cloud breaks and precipitation intensity, with official thresholds hinging on the precise lowest hourly reading from local stations. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether enhanced mixing or additional rainfall shifts the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$863Data di fine
15 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Shenzhen on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity levels above 90 percent that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions, tied to lingering moisture from recent southerly flow, keep overnight lows elevated compared to clearer scenarios that could dip toward 20°C or below under stronger radiational losses. Trader sentiment remains closely split because model runs show minor variations in timing of cloud breaks and precipitation intensity, with official thresholds hinging on the precise lowest hourly reading from local stations. Updated guidance through the evening will clarify whether enhanced mixing or additional rainfall shifts the final minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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