**Forecast uncertainty from shifting model consensus on overnight cooling drives the tight spread in trader odds for Wellington's September 6 minimum temperature.** Early spring conditions feature variable northwest winds and an approaching frontal system that could bring cloud cover and light rain, limiting radiative cooling and keeping lows near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs from agencies like MetService and international models. Stronger winds promote mixing that raises minimums, while clearer spells allow greater heat loss; historical September averages hover around 8–10 °C but recent patterns favor milder air advection. Traders weigh the 34.5 % odds on sub-8 °C or 18 °C-plus extremes against mid-range probabilities near 25 %, reflecting genuine divergence in short-range ensemble guidance ahead of the next forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 6 settembre?
8°C o inferiore 69%
18°C o superiore 69%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
69%
9°C
20%
10°C
49%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C o superiore
69%
8°C o inferiore 69%
18°C o superiore 69%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
69%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
8%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from shifting model consensus on overnight cooling drives the tight spread in trader odds for Wellington's September 6 minimum temperature.** Early spring conditions feature variable northwest winds and an approaching frontal system that could bring cloud cover and light rain, limiting radiative cooling and keeping lows near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs from agencies like MetService and international models. Stronger winds promote mixing that raises minimums, while clearer spells allow greater heat loss; historical September averages hover around 8–10 °C but recent patterns favor milder air advection. Traders weigh the 34.5 % odds on sub-8 °C or 18 °C-plus extremes against mid-range probabilities near 25 %, reflecting genuine divergence in short-range ensemble guidance ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from shifting model consensus on overnight cooling drives the tight spread in trader odds for Wellington's September 6 minimum temperature.** Early spring conditions feature variable northwest winds and an approaching frontal system that could bring cloud cover and light rain, limiting radiative cooling and keeping lows near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs from agencies like MetService and international models. Stronger winds promote mixing that raises minimums, while clearer spells allow greater heat loss; historical September averages hover around 8–10 °C but recent patterns favor milder air advection. Traders weigh the 34.5 % odds on sub-8 °C or 18 °C-plus extremes against mid-range probabilities near 25 %, reflecting genuine divergence in short-range ensemble guidance ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty from shifting model consensus on overnight cooling drives the tight spread in trader odds for Wellington's September 6 minimum temperature.** Early spring conditions feature variable northwest winds and an approaching frontal system that could bring cloud cover and light rain, limiting radiative cooling and keeping lows near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs from agencies like MetService and international models. Stronger winds promote mixing that raises minimums, while clearer spells allow greater heat loss; historical September averages hover around 8–10 °C but recent patterns favor milder air advection. Traders weigh the 34.5 % odds on sub-8 °C or 18 °C-plus extremes against mid-range probabilities near 25 %, reflecting genuine divergence in short-range ensemble guidance ahead of the next forecast update.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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