Maine’s structural Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by the incumbent governor’s term limit, anchors the market’s 88.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic nominee in November 2026. With primaries scheduled for June 9, a competitive Democratic field featuring Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, former Senate President Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, and Nirav Shah offers multiple viable paths to the general ballot, while the Republican primary remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting limited recent polling that shows no credible Republican general-election threat. Traders appear to price these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions as decisive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrat
89%
Republican
13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$5,106 Vol.
89%
Republican
$4,080 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine’s structural Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by the incumbent governor’s term limit, anchors the market’s 88.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic nominee in November 2026. With primaries scheduled for June 9, a competitive Democratic field featuring Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, former Senate President Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, and Nirav Shah offers multiple viable paths to the general ballot, while the Republican primary remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting limited recent polling that shows no credible Republican general-election threat. Traders appear to price these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions as decisive.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$9,186Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine’s structural Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by the incumbent governor’s term limit, anchors the market’s 88.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic nominee in November 2026. With primaries scheduled for June 9, a competitive Democratic field featuring Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, former Senate President Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, and Nirav Shah offers multiple viable paths to the general ballot, while the Republican primary remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting limited recent polling that shows no credible Republican general-election threat. Traders appear to price these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions as decisive.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$9,186Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maine’s structural Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by the incumbent governor’s term limit, anchors the market’s 88.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic nominee in November 2026. With primaries scheduled for June 9, a competitive Democratic field featuring Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, former Senate President Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, and Nirav Shah offers multiple viable paths to the general ballot, while the Republican primary remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the race as likely or lean Democratic, reflecting limited recent polling that shows no credible Republican general-election threat. Traders appear to price these fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions as decisive.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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