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Geopolitica·UN

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Geopolitica·UN

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Rafael Grossi 55%

Rebeca Grynspan 28%

Michelle Bachelet 9.3%

Macky Sall 3.8%

Polymarket

$123,184 Vol.

Rafael Grossi 55%

Rebeca Grynspan 28%

Michelle Bachelet 9.3%

Macky Sall 3.8%

Polymarket

$123,184 Vol.

icon for Rafael Grossi

Rafael Grossi

$7,507 Vol.

55%

icon for Rebeca Grynspan

Rebeca Grynspan

$2,515 Vol.

28%

icon for Michelle Bachelet

Michelle Bachelet

$2,825 Vol.

9%

icon for Macky Sall

Macky Sall

$110,337 Vol.

4%

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race for UN Secretary-General, reflecting his early nomination by Argentina, extensive IAEA leadership on nuclear non-proliferation, and perceived alignment with key Security Council priorities amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Rebeca Grynspan holds second position on the strength of her UNCTAD role and Costa Rican backing, positioning her as a strong Latin American alternative with deep institutional experience. Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall trail significantly following Chile’s March 2026 withdrawal of support for Bachelet and the absence of African Union endorsement for Sall, whose nomination originated from Burundi. Public candidate dialogues held in April 2026 have not materially shifted the field, leaving the outcome dependent on upcoming Security Council consultations and P5 dynamics ahead of the 2027 transition.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123,184
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus in the race for UN Secretary-General, reflecting his early nomination by Argentina, extensive IAEA leadership on nuclear non-proliferation, and perceived alignment with key Security Council priorities amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Rebeca Grynspan holds second position on the strength of her UNCTAD role and Costa Rican backing, positioning her as a strong Latin American alternative with deep institutional experience. Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall trail significantly following Chile’s March 2026 withdrawal of support for Bachelet and the absence of African Union endorsement for Sall, whose nomination originated from Burundi. Public candidate dialogues held in April 2026 have not materially shifted the field, leaving the outcome dependent on upcoming Security Council consultations and P5 dynamics ahead of the 2027 transition.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$123,184
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rafael Grossi" a 55%, seguito da "Rebeca Grynspan" a 28%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 55¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" ha generato $123.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" è "Rafael Grossi" a 55%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Rebeca Grynspan" a 28%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.