Recent upward revisions to UK inflation forecasts, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, underpin the closely contested Polymarket odds for 2026 annual CPI. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year, exceeding prior Bank of England projections, with core measures holding near 3.1% amid sticky services inflation. The central bank’s April Monetary Policy Report now anticipates inflation climbing above 3.5% by year-end under baseline scenarios before easing toward target, though risks of second-round effects could sustain levels near 4%. Traders appear to weigh these persistent cost pressures against a loosening labor market and potential demand weakness, producing balanced probabilities across the 3.5–4.4% bands while assigning meaningful weight to higher outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and further MPC communications on the policy rate path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.0-4.4% 28%
3.5–3.9% 25%
4.5%+ 23%
2.5–2.9% 5.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 gen 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
7%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
5%
3.5–3.9%
25%
4.0-4.4%
28%
4.5%+
36%
4.0-4.4% 28%
3.5–3.9% 25%
4.5%+ 23%
2.5–2.9% 5.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 gen 2027
<1.0%
$802 Vol.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$483 Vol.
7%
2.0–2.4%
$305 Vol.
11%
2.5–2.9%
$385 Vol.
5%
3.5–3.9%
$525 Vol.
25%
4.0-4.4%
$420 Vol.
28%
4.5%+
$1,080 Vol.
36%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward revisions to UK inflation forecasts, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, underpin the closely contested Polymarket odds for 2026 annual CPI. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year, exceeding prior Bank of England projections, with core measures holding near 3.1% amid sticky services inflation. The central bank’s April Monetary Policy Report now anticipates inflation climbing above 3.5% by year-end under baseline scenarios before easing toward target, though risks of second-round effects could sustain levels near 4%. Traders appear to weigh these persistent cost pressures against a loosening labor market and potential demand weakness, producing balanced probabilities across the 3.5–4.4% bands while assigning meaningful weight to higher outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and further MPC communications on the policy rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Mercato aperto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$4,329Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent upward revisions to UK inflation forecasts, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, underpin the closely contested Polymarket odds for 2026 annual CPI. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year, exceeding prior Bank of England projections, with core measures holding near 3.1% amid sticky services inflation. The central bank’s April Monetary Policy Report now anticipates inflation climbing above 3.5% by year-end under baseline scenarios before easing toward target, though risks of second-round effects could sustain levels near 4%. Traders appear to weigh these persistent cost pressures against a loosening labor market and potential demand weakness, producing balanced probabilities across the 3.5–4.4% bands while assigning meaningful weight to higher outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and further MPC communications on the policy rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Volume
$4,329Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to UK inflation forecasts, driven by elevated global energy prices from Middle East supply disruptions, underpin the closely contested Polymarket odds for 2026 annual CPI. March 2026 CPI rose to 3.3% year-over-year, exceeding prior Bank of England projections, with core measures holding near 3.1% amid sticky services inflation. The central bank’s April Monetary Policy Report now anticipates inflation climbing above 3.5% by year-end under baseline scenarios before easing toward target, though risks of second-round effects could sustain levels near 4%. Traders appear to weigh these persistent cost pressures against a loosening labor market and potential demand weakness, producing balanced probabilities across the 3.5–4.4% bands while assigning meaningful weight to higher outcomes. Key upcoming catalysts include the May CPI release and further MPC communications on the policy rate path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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