This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 10 2026
US jobs report shows strong hiring despite Iran war
No meeting by June 30 surges to 89%19%
Robust US employment data improved domestic economic confidence in Trump’s leadership, indirectly supporting the “No meeting” outlook as market participants focused on domestic issues.
May 10 2026
Trump’s Greenland envoy sparks speculation about Middle‑East diplomatic moves
A brief surge in price fluctuation was linked to speculation that a secret meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country after Trump’s envoy to Greenland hinted at renewed Middle‑East outreach, but no concrete evidence emerged.
Apr 25 2026
Trump‑Putin phone call after Davos Board of Peace event
Russia dips to 28%4%
Following the Board of Peace signing, Trump and Putin spoke on the phone, reviving speculation of a meeting but without concrete plans, causing a modest rise in the Russia outcome.
Apr 21 2026
Trump rolls out his Board of Peace at Davos, invites Putin without confirming attendance
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 89%9%
Trump’s declaration at the World Economic Forum in Davos that he was rolling out a “Board of Peace” and that Putin had been invited but not yet responded reinforced expectations that a direct meeting was unlikely before June 30.
Apr 15 2026
Trump announces three‑day ceasefire in Ukraine
No meeting by June 30 surges to 70%25%
A US‑brokered ceasefire reduced immediate war pressure, but the lack of a concrete peace deal lowered expectations of a Trump‑Putin meeting, pushing the market toward “No meeting.”
Apr 3 2026
Trump‑Xi summit held in Beijing
China plunges to 5%15%
The actual Trump‑Xi meeting confirmed Beijing as the venue for the highest‑level US‑China dialogue, virtually eliminating the China outcome and boosting the “No meeting” probability.
Mar 8 2026
Putin arrives in New Delhi on a state visit aimed at bolstering Russia‑India ties
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 80%7%
A report that Putin was visiting India for a state visit was interpreted as a sign that his diplomatic itinerary was full, reducing the likelihood of a Trump‑Putin meeting and pushing the “no meeting” price higher.
Mar 8 2026
Trump‑Putin meeting rumored at Gulf summit in Doha
Gulf country drops to 30%8%
Leaks suggested a possible Trump‑Putin encounter at a Gulf Cooperation Council summit, briefly raising the Gulf‑country outcome.
Feb 20 2026
China reports 14.1% jump in April exports ahead of Trump‑Xi summit
China drops to 20%10%
Strong Chinese export data boosted confidence in a Beijing meeting, further collapsing the China outcome probability.
Feb 5 2026
US‑Russia New START treaty limits reaffirmed by Russia
Russia drops to 32%6%
Russia’s pledge to honor New START if the US does so reduced immediate nuclear tensions, slightly improving the prospect of a meeting in Russia.
Jan 20 2026
Trump says Putin and he had a two‑hour call and are getting closer to a deal
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 62%5%
Trump announced on Air Force One that he had spoken with Putin for over two hours and that both leaders were “getting a lot closer,” reviving speculation of an imminent meeting and causing a temporary dip in the no‑meeting price.
Jan 10 2026
Trump hosts Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos
Russia drops to 38%7%
The high‑profile event brought many world leaders together, including an invitation to Putin, reviving speculation of a Trump‑Putin meeting in a neutral venue and lifting the Russia outcome slightly.
Dec 28 2025
Putin warns Russia will extend gains if peace talks fail
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 45%10%
Putin’s hard‑line statement after stalled U.S.‑led peace talks suggested a deteriorating diplomatic climate, pushing the market back toward a “No meeting” outlook.
Dec 15 2025
Trump‑Xi summit scheduled in Beijing
China plunges to 30%19%
News that Trump would meet Xi in Beijing heightened expectations of a China venue for a Trump‑Putin encounter, sharply reducing the China outcome probability.
Dec 15 2025
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner hold marathon talks with Putin in Moscow
No meeting by June 30 surges to 56%24%
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner met with Putin in Moscow for marathon talks, confirming that no direct Trump‑Putin meeting was scheduled and pushing the market back toward a “no meeting” outlook.
Dec 1 2025
Trump announces framework for Greenland deal, drops NATO tariff threat
Other EU country drops to 40%6%
The announcement shifted attention to the Arctic and reduced pressure on European allies, lowering the perceived need for a Trump‑Putin meeting in Europe and nudging the market toward a Gulf or Russia outcome.
Nov 5 2025
Putin arrives in India for state visit
Gulf country drops to 38%8%
Putin’s India trip was seen as a signal that he was focusing on non‑Western partners, increasing speculation that a Trump‑Putin meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country during the visit.
Oct 12 2025
Trump‑Putin phone call discussed cease‑fire in Kyiv
Russia drops to 45%11%
President Trump said he secured a one‑week pause on Russian strikes on Kyiv after a phone call with Putin, raising hopes of direct talks and moving the market away from a Gulf‑state meeting toward a possible Russia meeting.
Oct 8 2025
Trump says he asked Putin not to target Kyiv for one week during brutal cold spell
No meeting by June 30 rises to 31%2%
Trump publicly claimed that Putin had agreed not to target Kyiv for a week during a severe cold spell, signalling a direct communication line between the two leaders and fuelling market expectations of a forthcoming meeting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The absence of any announced bilateral summit plans or preparatory diplomatic steps between the White House and Kremlin explains the overwhelming trader consensus favoring no in-person Trump-Putin meeting before June 30. Recent phone contacts have focused on Ukraine ceasefire terms and Iran de-escalation without yielding concrete venue agreements or travel schedules, while Putin’s immediate itinerary centers on a state visit to China and ongoing bilateral frictions over territorial demands persist. This aligns with the pattern of prior proposed talks, such as the postponed Budapest summit, being delayed amid unresolved policy gaps. A rapid shift could occur only through an unforeseen breakthrough in envoy-level negotiations or an acute geopolitical trigger forcing an emergency session within the narrow window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
May 10 2026
US jobs report shows strong hiring despite Iran war
No meeting by June 30 surges to 89%19%
Robust US employment data improved domestic economic confidence in Trump’s leadership, indirectly supporting the “No meeting” outlook as market participants focused on domestic issues.
May 10 2026
Trump’s Greenland envoy sparks speculation about Middle‑East diplomatic moves
A brief surge in price fluctuation was linked to speculation that a secret meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country after Trump’s envoy to Greenland hinted at renewed Middle‑East outreach, but no concrete evidence emerged.
Apr 25 2026
Trump‑Putin phone call after Davos Board of Peace event
Russia dips to 28%4%
Following the Board of Peace signing, Trump and Putin spoke on the phone, reviving speculation of a meeting but without concrete plans, causing a modest rise in the Russia outcome.
Apr 21 2026
Trump rolls out his Board of Peace at Davos, invites Putin without confirming attendance
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 89%9%
Trump’s declaration at the World Economic Forum in Davos that he was rolling out a “Board of Peace” and that Putin had been invited but not yet responded reinforced expectations that a direct meeting was unlikely before June 30.
Apr 15 2026
Trump announces three‑day ceasefire in Ukraine
No meeting by June 30 surges to 70%25%
A US‑brokered ceasefire reduced immediate war pressure, but the lack of a concrete peace deal lowered expectations of a Trump‑Putin meeting, pushing the market toward “No meeting.”
Apr 3 2026
Trump‑Xi summit held in Beijing
China plunges to 5%15%
The actual Trump‑Xi meeting confirmed Beijing as the venue for the highest‑level US‑China dialogue, virtually eliminating the China outcome and boosting the “No meeting” probability.
Mar 8 2026
Putin arrives in New Delhi on a state visit aimed at bolstering Russia‑India ties
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 80%7%
A report that Putin was visiting India for a state visit was interpreted as a sign that his diplomatic itinerary was full, reducing the likelihood of a Trump‑Putin meeting and pushing the “no meeting” price higher.
Mar 8 2026
Trump‑Putin meeting rumored at Gulf summit in Doha
Gulf country drops to 30%8%
Leaks suggested a possible Trump‑Putin encounter at a Gulf Cooperation Council summit, briefly raising the Gulf‑country outcome.
Feb 20 2026
China reports 14.1% jump in April exports ahead of Trump‑Xi summit
China drops to 20%10%
Strong Chinese export data boosted confidence in a Beijing meeting, further collapsing the China outcome probability.
Feb 5 2026
US‑Russia New START treaty limits reaffirmed by Russia
Russia drops to 32%6%
Russia’s pledge to honor New START if the US does so reduced immediate nuclear tensions, slightly improving the prospect of a meeting in Russia.
Jan 20 2026
Trump says Putin and he had a two‑hour call and are getting closer to a deal
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 62%5%
Trump announced on Air Force One that he had spoken with Putin for over two hours and that both leaders were “getting a lot closer,” reviving speculation of an imminent meeting and causing a temporary dip in the no‑meeting price.
Jan 10 2026
Trump hosts Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos
Russia drops to 38%7%
The high‑profile event brought many world leaders together, including an invitation to Putin, reviving speculation of a Trump‑Putin meeting in a neutral venue and lifting the Russia outcome slightly.
Dec 28 2025
Putin warns Russia will extend gains if peace talks fail
No meeting by June 30 jumps to 45%10%
Putin’s hard‑line statement after stalled U.S.‑led peace talks suggested a deteriorating diplomatic climate, pushing the market back toward a “No meeting” outlook.
Dec 15 2025
Trump‑Xi summit scheduled in Beijing
China plunges to 30%19%
News that Trump would meet Xi in Beijing heightened expectations of a China venue for a Trump‑Putin encounter, sharply reducing the China outcome probability.
Dec 15 2025
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner hold marathon talks with Putin in Moscow
No meeting by June 30 surges to 56%24%
U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner met with Putin in Moscow for marathon talks, confirming that no direct Trump‑Putin meeting was scheduled and pushing the market back toward a “no meeting” outlook.
Dec 1 2025
Trump announces framework for Greenland deal, drops NATO tariff threat
Other EU country drops to 40%6%
The announcement shifted attention to the Arctic and reduced pressure on European allies, lowering the perceived need for a Trump‑Putin meeting in Europe and nudging the market toward a Gulf or Russia outcome.
Nov 5 2025
Putin arrives in India for state visit
Gulf country drops to 38%8%
Putin’s India trip was seen as a signal that he was focusing on non‑Western partners, increasing speculation that a Trump‑Putin meeting could be arranged in a Gulf country during the visit.
Oct 12 2025
Trump‑Putin phone call discussed cease‑fire in Kyiv
Russia drops to 45%11%
President Trump said he secured a one‑week pause on Russian strikes on Kyiv after a phone call with Putin, raising hopes of direct talks and moving the market away from a Gulf‑state meeting toward a possible Russia meeting.
Oct 8 2025
Trump says he asked Putin not to target Kyiv for one week during brutal cold spell
No meeting by June 30 rises to 31%2%
Trump publicly claimed that Putin had agreed not to target Kyiv for a week during a severe cold spell, signalling a direct communication line between the two leaders and fuelling market expectations of a forthcoming meeting.
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Domande frequenti
"Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 15 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno" a 92%, seguito da "Russia" a 3%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 92¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 92% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" ha generato $7.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 30, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?", esplora i 15 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" è "Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno" a 92%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 92% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Russia" a 3%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $7.6 million scambiati su "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 92¢ per "Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno" nel mercato "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 92% che "Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 92¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 8¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" è programmato per la risoluzione il o intorno al Jun 30, 2026. Questo significa che il trading rimarrà aperto e le quote continueranno a cambiare man mano che emergono nuove informazioni fino a quella data. La tempistica esatta di risoluzione dipende da quando il risultato ufficiale diventa disponibile, come indicato nella sezione "Regole" su questa pagina.
Il mercato "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?" ha una comunità attiva di 31 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "Dove si incontreranno Trump e Putin?". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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Domande frequenti